Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 89%

Total Value

$10.7K

Combined PnL

$974.81

Smart Money Signal

Down

32 of 38 top traders (84%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down32 traders

Total Value$10.7K

Total Shares10,698

Combined PnL+$1.2K

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares447

Combined PnL-$234.14

Down — 84%Up — 16%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 64.9¢	$3.7K	$3.8K	+$136.51	67% 100201-48634 (148835)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.3¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$24.34	93% 24712-1827 (26539)
10 1000monkeys	Downavg 70.1¢	$804.37	$848.93	+$44.56	61% 7761-5060 (12821)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 65.1¢	$515.23	$627.58	+$112.35	56% 15023-11796 (26819)
AS aswfadq1555	Downavg 62.7¢	$387.11	$592.2	+$205.09	54% 15451-13344 (28795)
HC Hcrystallash	Downavg 73.7¢	$484.73	$520.07	+$35.34	26% 8815-24906 (33721)
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 61.4¢	$374.36	$400.64	+$26.28	47% 1881-2131 (4012)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 68¢	$387.17	$445.9	+$58.73	57% 72361-55060 (127421)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Downavg 63.6¢	$175.18	$187.49	+$12.31	57% 6807-5045 (11852)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Downavg 61.8¢	$123.81	$200.25	+$76.44	48% 23559-25849 (49408)
RL RLWG	Downavg 69.8¢	$130.1	$173.4	+$43.29	50% 8041-8057 (16098)
BL blue.birds	Downavg 58.7¢	$114.68	$137.26	+$22.58	53% 4711-4105 (8816)
FA FatSlagCTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$88.16	—	-$88.16	49% 9448-9942 (19390)
YO YouSayUpISayDown	Downavg 88.4¢	$122.04	$138	+$15.96	54% 3919-3397 (7316)
Atomforge	Downavg 84.1¢	$125.64	$144.88	+$19.24	64% 4441-2454 (6895)
AL Alpharo28	Downavg 65.8¢	$104.9	$139.47	+$52.77	50% 37282-36733 (74015)
38 38791873984189	Downavg 48.1¢	$79.19	$164.47	+$85.28	47% 12949-14528 (27477)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 64.9¢	$81.79	$69.37	-$12.42	66% 127563-65613 (193176)
PB PBot-5	Downavg 66.8¢	$67.65	$101.31	+$33.66	53% 8788-7802 (16590)
AS asabovesobelow2<$100	Downavg 86.3¢	$62	$69.56	+$7.56	68% 1739-823 (2562)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 84.9¢	$48.85	$55	+$6.15	65% 126838-67771 (194609)
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100	Upavg 47¢	$73.32	—	-$73.32	54% 14606-12467 (27073)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 50.7¢	$26.55	$45	+$18.45	56% 58856-45465 (104321)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 50.9¢	$24.54	$45	+$20.46	58% 61328-44778 (106106)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Downavg 53.9¢	$29.93	$55.49	+$25.56	56% 11274-8984 (20258)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down

Invested

$3,655.63

Value

$3.8K

PnL

+$136.51

Record

67%

100201-48634 (148835)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$1,366.66

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$24.34

Record

93%

24712-1827 (26539)

1000monkeys

Down

Invested

$804.37

Value

$848.93

PnL

+$44.56

Record

61%

7761-5060 (12821)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$515.23

Value

$627.58

PnL

+$112.35

Record

56%

15023-11796 (26819)

aswfadq1555

Down

Invested

$387.11

Value

$592.2

PnL

+$205.09

Record

54%

15451-13344 (28795)

Hcrystallash

Down

Invested

$484.73

Value

$520.07

PnL

+$35.34

Record

26%

8815-24906 (33721)

asdcaxz

Down

Invested

$374.36

Value

$400.64

PnL

+$26.28

Record

47%

1881-2131 (4012)

uninformedfloww

Down

Invested

$387.17

Value

$445.9

PnL

+$58.73

Record

57%

72361-55060 (127421)

peepeepoopoo24

Down

Invested

$175.18

Value

$187.49

PnL

+$12.31

Record

57%

6807-5045 (11852)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down

Invested

$123.81

Value

$200.25

PnL

+$76.44

Record

48%

23559-25849 (49408)

RLWG

Down

Invested

$130.1

Value

$173.4

PnL

+$43.29

Record

50%

8041-8057 (16098)

blue.birds

Down

Invested

$114.68

Value

$137.26

PnL

+$22.58

Record

53%

4711-4105 (8816)

FatSlagCTR<$100

Invested

$88.16

Value

—

PnL

-$88.16

Record

49%

9448-9942 (19390)

YouSayUpISayDown

Down

Invested

$122.04

Value

$138

PnL

+$15.96

Record

54%

3919-3397 (7316)

Atomforge

Down

Invested

$125.64

Value

$144.88

PnL

+$19.24

Record

64%

4441-2454 (6895)

Alpharo28

Down

Invested

$104.9

Value

$139.47

PnL

+$52.77

Record

50%

37282-36733 (74015)

38791873984189

Down

Invested

$79.19

Value

$164.47

PnL

+$85.28

Record

47%

12949-14528 (27477)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$81.79

Value

$69.37

PnL

-$12.42

Record

66%

127563-65613 (193176)

PBot-5

Down

Invested

$67.65

Value

$101.31

PnL

+$33.66

Record

53%

8788-7802 (16590)

asabovesobelow2<$100

Down

Invested

$62

Value

$69.56

PnL

+$7.56

Record

68%

1739-823 (2562)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Down

Invested

$48.85

Value

$55

PnL

+$6.15

Record

65%

126838-67771 (194609)

tmsd-testCTR<$100

Invested

$73.32

Value

—

PnL

-$73.32

Record

54%

14606-12467 (27073)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Down

Invested

$26.55

Value

$45

PnL

+$18.45

Record

56%

58856-45465 (104321)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Down

Invested

$24.54

Value

$45

PnL

+$20.46

Record

58%

61328-44778 (106106)

flippingsharks<$100

Down

Invested

$29.93

Value

$55.49

PnL

+$25.56

Record

56%

11274-8984 (20258)

Smart Money Signal

Down

32 of 38 top traders (84%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x43bb5f1f...b8adf9

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1793603700

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $3.8K

+$136.51

hoodquant

Down — $1.4K

+$24.34

1000monkeys

Down — $848.93

+$44.56

CrouchPredictions

Down — $627.58

+$112.35

aswfadq1555

Down — $592.2

+$205.09

Hcrystallash

Down — $520.07

+$35.34

asdcaxz

Down — $400.64

+$26.28

uninformedfloww

Down — $445.9

+$58.73

peepeepoopoo24

Down — $187.49

+$12.31

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $200.25

+$76.44

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