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UnderOverUnderOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Criciúma EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 67%
Total Value
$257.58
Combined PnL
-$77.57
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$257.58
Total Shares258
Combined PnL+$108.59
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares419
Combined PnL-$186.16
Under — 33%Over — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 56.7¢ | $143.69 | $252.27 | +$108.58 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 42.1¢ | $177.17 | — | -$177.17 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
PE pelik<$100 | Underavg 99.9¢ | $5.3 | $5.31 | +$0.01 | 99% 1600-5 (1605) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 20.6¢ | $6.13 | — | -$6.13 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Overavg 43¢ | $2.46 | — | -$2.46 | 42% 1060-1490 (2550) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 8¢ | $0.41 | — | -$0.41 | 35% 520-947 (1467) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$143.69
Value
$252.27
PnL
+$108.58
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$177.17
Value
—
PnL
-$177.17
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
PE
pelik<$100Invested
$5.3
Value
$5.31
PnL
+$0.01
Record
99%
1600-5 (1605)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$6.13
Value
—
PnL
-$6.13
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$2.46
Value
—
PnL
-$2.46
Record
42%
1060-1490 (2550)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$0.41
Value
—
PnL
-$0.41
Record
35%
520-947 (1467)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0005a197...6541da
Slug
bra2-cri-nov-2026-11-14-total-2pt5