Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Criciúma EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Yes 63%
$54.48
-$78.09
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.7¢ | $27.89 | — | -$27.89 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 69¢ | $20.45 | $19.97 | -$0.48 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Noavg 47¢ | $8.86 | $18.86 | +$10 | 44% 172-215 (387) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Yesavg 37.4¢ | $28.77 | — | -$28.77 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 69¢ | $10.8 | $15.65 | +$4.85 | 32% 385-828 (1213) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 41.2¢ | $18.78 | — | -$18.78 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 44¢ | $15.47 | — | -$15.47 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 19¢ | $1.64 | — | -$1.64 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 30¢ | $3 | — | +$0.1 | 54% 1525-1316 (2841) |
Invested
$27.89
Value
—
PnL
-$27.89
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
Invested
$20.45
Value
$19.97
PnL
-$0.48
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Invested
$8.86
Value
$18.86
PnL
+$10
Record
44%
172-215 (387)
Invested
$28.77
Value
—
PnL
-$28.77
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$10.8
Value
$15.65
PnL
+$4.85
Record
32%
385-828 (1213)
Invested
$18.78
Value
—
PnL
-$18.78
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$15.47
Value
—
PnL
-$15.47
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
Invested
$1.64
Value
—
PnL
-$1.64
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
+$0.1
Record
54%
1525-1316 (2841)