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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-02?

Resolved Yes. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

19

No 76%

Total Value

$4.3K

Combined PnL

$-1.7K

Smart Money Signal

No

13 of 19 top traders (68%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No13 traders
Total Value$2.8K
Total Shares9,140
Combined PnL$-2.1K
Yes6 traders
Total Value$1.6K
Total Shares1,571
Combined PnL+$482.64
No — 68%Yes — 32%
FL
FlaznorpCTR
No

Invested

$4,166.56

Value

$2.7K

PnL

$-1.5K

Record

51%

21008-19991 (40999)

VE
Venusian
Yes

Invested

$361.79

Value

$787.8

PnL

+$426.01

Record

52%

605-551 (1156)

OM
omnibus-076daa
Yes

Invested

$389.27

Value

$411.14

PnL

+$21.87

Record

50%

19928-20296 (40224)

BE
Betziko
Yes

Invested

$334.14

Value

$362.18

PnL

+$28.05

Record

54%

6628-5562 (12190)

HRTradingCTR<$100
No

Invested

$31.09

Value

$34.1

PnL

+$3.01

Record

52%

6768-6135 (12903)

FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100
No

Invested

$18.8

Value

$25

PnL

+$6.2

Record

48%

5733-6182 (11915)

LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100
No

Invested

$47.67

Value

$22

PnL

-$25.67

Record

54%

629-546 (1175)

XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100
Yes

Invested

$9.65

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.35

Record

35%

17252-31838 (49090)

SU
suntoriCTR
No

Invested

$1,101.03

Value

$0.02

PnL

+$301.55

Record

45%

13208-16070 (29278)

CI
cigarettesCTR<$100
No

Invested

$2.18

Value

—

PnL

-$2.18

Record

54%

21772-18817 (40589)

AH
aHjCzCTR<$100
No

Invested

$0.46

Value

—

PnL

-$0.46

Record

40%

5221-7896 (13117)

SN
SnakeBallCTR
No

Invested

$533.23

Value

—

PnL

-$533.23

Record

50%

34946-34393 (69339)

oieshfn345CTR
No

Invested

$1,817.9

Value

—

PnL

-$308.06

Record

57%

1930-1438 (3368)

LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100
No

Invested

$50.52

Value

—

PnL

-$50.52

Record

49%

13651-14457 (28108)

LR
lryyyCTR<$100
No

Invested

$0.33

Value

—

PnL

-$0.33

Record

47%

8896-9990 (18886)

LO
looppau
Yes

Invested

$1,498.5

Value

—

PnL

+$1.5

Record

99%

11636-75 (11711)

SM
smithagentCTR<$100
No

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

48%

5180-5537 (10717)

HY
hydra1248<$100
Yes

Invested

$18.26

Value

—

PnL

+$4.85

Record

66%

41-21 (62)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR
No

Invested

$136.25

Value

—

PnL

-$30.36

Record

47%

10297-11504 (21801)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x630ee67e...cb8105
Slug
bra2-ath-csc-2026-11-02-ath

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

CTR

No — $2.7K

$-1.5K
VE

Venusian

Yes — $787.8

+$426.01
OM

omnibus-076daa

Yes — $411.14

+$21.87
BE

Betziko

Yes — $362.18

+$28.05

HRTrading

CTR

No — $34.1

+$3.01
FE

ferdinand2

CTR

No — $25

+$6.2
LI

LightParadox

CTR

No — $22

-$25.67
XT

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $10

+$0.35
SU

suntori

CTR

No — $0.02

+$301.55
CI

cigarettes

CTR

No — $0

-$2.18
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