Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Athletic Club vs. AC Goianiense: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
9
Under 50%
$227.4
-$333.59
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 89.2Β’ | $144.74 | $162.23 | +$17.49 | 50% 32582-32710 (65292) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 28Β’ | $12.31 | β | -$231.37 | 52% 47368-44608 (91976) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Overavg 95.5Β’ | $45 | $45 | +$2 | 71% 18414-7581 (25995) |
RO Rocky31<$100 | Overavg 93Β’ | $14.28 | $14.28 | +$1 | 75% 2054-697 (2751) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 27Β’ | $2.29 | β | -$14.15 | 47% 2189-2445 (4634) |
US User7429<$100 | Overavg 83Β’ | $5.89 | $5.89 | +$1 | 56% 10315-8130 (18445) |
LI LimousinCTR | Underavg 21.1Β’ | $518.12 | β | -$109.41 | 49% 2223-2352 (4575) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 27Β’ | $0.15 | β | -$0.15 | 50% 27970-27422 (55392) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles<$100 | Overavg 50Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 195-152 (347) |
Invested
$144.74
Value
$162.23
PnL
+$17.49
Record
50%
32582-32710 (65292)
Invested
$12.31
Value
β
PnL
-$231.37
Record
52%
47368-44608 (91976)
Invested
$45
Value
$45
PnL
+$2
Record
71%
18414-7581 (25995)
Invested
$14.28
Value
$14.28
PnL
+$1
Record
75%
2054-697 (2751)
Invested
$2.29
Value
β
PnL
-$14.15
Record
47%
2189-2445 (4634)
Invested
$5.89
Value
$5.89
PnL
+$1
Record
56%
10315-8130 (18445)
Invested
$518.12
Value
β
PnL
-$109.41
Record
49%
2223-2352 (4575)
Invested
$0.15
Value
β
PnL
-$0.15
Record
50%
27970-27422 (55392)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
195-152 (347)