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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9PM ET
Resolved Down. 74.26789743482828% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
Up 74.26789743482828%
Total Value
$4.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
10 of 13 top traders (74.26789743482828%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9c4f29f0...b51aca
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-4-2026-9pm-et