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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3PM ET
Resolved Up. 53.976026093818795% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
Down 53.976026093818795%
Total Value
$2.8K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
6 of 12 top traders (53.976026093818795%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe187b2c1...434b04
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-13-2026-3pm-et