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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12PM ET
Resolved Down. 82.78582745587441% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Up 82.78582745587441%
Total Value
$4.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
9 of 11 top traders (82.78582745587441%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3ac401c5...9da0f0
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-13-2026-12pm-et