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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Down 60%
Total Value
$5.8K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
7 of 11 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8aaf16fa...771065
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-13-2026-4pm-et