Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Under 30%
1 arb excluded
$3.9K
$1.5K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 11 top traders (36%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnakeBall | Underavg 47.5Β’ | $1.2K | $2.4K | +$1.3K | 51% 38228-37447 (75675) |
DA dashattacker | Underavg 84.2Β’ | $869.8 | $1.0K | +$162.94 | 73% 3105-1173 (4278) |
LI LightParadox | Underavg 37.6Β’ | $122.13 | $325.09 | +$202.95 | 49% 1800-1900 (3700) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 33.7Β’ | $118.44 | $76.43 | -$42.01 | 51% 27227-25781 (53008) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 65.1Β’ | $49.74 | $76.43 | +$26.69 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 33.7Β’ | $68.7 | β | -$68.7 | |
LR lryyyCTR | Overavg 76.8Β’ | $123.89 | β | -$96.44 | 47% 9568-10685 (20253) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Overavg 15.6Β’ | $16.6 | β | -$16.6 | 56% 9225-7363 (16588) |
![]() alpheclabs2CTR<$100 | Overavg 54Β’ | $41.71 | β | -$49.39 | 47% 1363-1539 (2902) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Overavg 33Β’ | $2.69 | β | -$2.69 | 50% 26409-26025 (52434) |
![]() dips.CTR<$100 | Overavg 46.2Β’ | $13.44 | β | -$13.44 | 47% 11022-12642 (23664) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 10.4Β’ | $2.09 | β | -$2.09 | 50% 1850-1863 (3713) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 35.1Β’ | $6.43 | β | -$6.43 | 48% 1775-1911 (3686) |
0X 0xNuttawut<$100 | Underavg 49.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 1236-1201 (2437) |
Invested
$1,159.96
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$1.3K
Record
51%
38228-37447 (75675)
Invested
$869.8
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$162.94
Record
73%
3105-1173 (4278)
Invested
$122.13
Value
$325.09
PnL
+$202.95
Record
49%
1800-1900 (3700)
Invested
$118.44
Value
$76.43
PnL
-$42.01
Record
51%
27227-25781 (53008)
Both legs:
Invested
$123.89
Value
β
PnL
-$96.44
Record
47%
9568-10685 (20253)
Invested
$16.6
Value
β
PnL
-$16.6
Record
56%
9225-7363 (16588)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Invested
$41.71
Value
β
PnL
-$49.39
Record
47%
1363-1539 (2902)
Invested
$2.69
Value
β
PnL
-$2.69
Record
50%
26409-26025 (52434)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$13.44
Value
β
PnL
-$13.44
Record
47%
11022-12642 (23664)
Invested
$2.09
Value
β
PnL
-$2.09
Record
50%
1850-1863 (3713)
Invested
$6.43
Value
β
PnL
-$6.43
Record
48%
1775-1911 (3686)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
1236-1201 (2437)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
SnakeBall
Under β $2.4K
dashattacker
Under β $1.0K
LightParadox
Under β $325.09
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded
lryyy
CTROver β $0
User7429
CTROver β $0

alpheclabs2
CTROver β $0
sentrio
CTROver β $0

dips.
CTROver β $0
Limousin
CTROver β $0