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UnderUnderUnderUnderUnderOver
dips.<$100Over
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Under 83%
Total Value
$22.23
Combined PnL
$-4.1K
Smart Money Signal
Under
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares7,092
Combined PnL$-4.1K
Over2 traders
Total Value$22.23
Total Shares22
Combined PnL+$42.24
Under — 71%Over — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 51.3¢ | $2.1K | — | $-2.1K | 49% 1800-1900 (3700) |
DA dashattackerCTR | Underavg 78.1¢ | $978.3 | — | -$978.3 | 73% 3105-1173 (4278) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Underavg 51.2¢ | $513.59 | — | -$513.59 | 48% 1775-1911 (3686) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Underavg 64¢ | $520.02 | — | -$520.02 | 51% 38228-37447 (75675) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 61¢ | $9.82 | — | -$9.82 | 51% 27227-25781 (53008) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Overavg 13.6¢ | $3.02 | $22.23 | +$19.22 | 50% 1850-1863 (3713) |
dips.<$100 | Overavg 59.2¢ | $33.43 | — | +$23.02 | 47% 11022-12642 (23664) |
LI
LightParadoxCTRInvested
$2,089.21
Value
—
PnL
$-2.1K
Record
49%
1800-1900 (3700)
DA
dashattackerCTRInvested
$978.3
Value
—
PnL
-$978.3
Record
73%
3105-1173 (4278)
MA
MadridTimeCTRInvested
$513.59
Value
—
PnL
-$513.59
Record
48%
1775-1911 (3686)
SN
SnakeBallCTRInvested
$520.02
Value
—
PnL
-$520.02
Record
51%
38228-37447 (75675)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$9.82
Value
—
PnL
-$9.82
Record
51%
27227-25781 (53008)
LI
Limousin<$100Invested
$3.02
Value
$22.23
PnL
+$19.22
Record
50%
1850-1863 (3713)
dips.<$100Invested
$33.43
Value
—
PnL
+$23.02
Record
47%
11022-12642 (23664)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfcc0561f...ac8526
Slug
aus-mct-wsw-2026-11-07-first-half-total-1pt5