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UnderUnderUnderOverOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Madagascar vs. Guinea-Bissau: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Under 60%
Total Value
$2.4K
Combined PnL
$238.43
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$2.4K
Total Shares2,403
Combined PnL+$249.65
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares385
Combined PnL-$11.22
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 83.6¢ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$156.47 | 51% 2634-2567 (5201) |
SU suntori | Underavg 82¢ | $422.85 | $515.67 | +$92.82 | 47% 1704-1945 (3649) |
PE pelik | Underavg 99.9¢ | $363.07 | $363.43 | +$0.36 | 99% 1331-4 (1335) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 3¢ | $10.22 | — | -$10.22 | 55% 1693-1391 (3084) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 2.3¢ | $1.01 | — | -$1.01 | 35% 221-416 (637) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$1,367.52
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$156.47
Record
51%
2634-2567 (5201)
SU
suntoriInvested
$422.85
Value
$515.67
PnL
+$92.82
Record
47%
1704-1945 (3649)
PE
pelikInvested
$363.07
Value
$363.43
PnL
+$0.36
Record
99%
1331-4 (1335)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$10.22
Value
—
PnL
-$10.22
Record
55%
1693-1391 (3084)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$1.01
Value
—
PnL
-$1.01
Record
35%
221-416 (637)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6fdbfb99...9e0167
Slug
afcq-mad-gb-2026-11-12-total-3pt5