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Guinea-BissauMadagascar
RN1CTR<$100MadagascarMadagascarMadagascarMadagascar
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Guinea-Bissau — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Guinea-Bissau
Spread: Madagascar (-1.5)
Resolved Guinea-Bissau. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held Guinea-Bissau. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Guinea-Bissau 17%
Total Value
$3.9K
Combined PnL
-$150.38
Smart Money Signal
Guinea-Bissau
1 of 6 top traders (17%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Madagascar0%
Guinea-Bissau100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Guinea-Bissau1 trader
Total Value$3.9K
Total Shares3,856
Combined PnL+$3.86
Madagascar5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,856
Combined PnL-$154.24
Guinea-Bissau — 17%Madagascar — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE pelik | Guinea-Bissauavg 99.9¢ | $3.9K | $3.9K | +$3.86 | 99% 1331-4 (1335) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Madagascaravg 4¢ | $49.24 | — | -$49.24 | 51% 2634-2567 (5201) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Madagascaravg 4¢ | $6.52 | — | -$6.52 | 56% 4529-3502 (8031) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Madagascaravg 4¢ | $4.24 | — | -$4.24 | 55% 1693-1391 (3084) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Madagascaravg 4¢ | $27.57 | — | -$27.57 | 35% 221-416 (637) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Madagascaravg 4¢ | $66.67 | — | -$66.67 | 46% 485-564 (1049) |
PE
pelikInvested
$3,852.14
Value
$3.9K
PnL
+$3.86
Record
99%
1331-4 (1335)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$49.24
Value
—
PnL
-$49.24
Record
51%
2634-2567 (5201)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$6.52
Value
—
PnL
-$6.52
Record
56%
4529-3502 (8031)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$4.24
Value
—
PnL
-$4.24
Record
55%
1693-1391 (3084)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$27.57
Value
—
PnL
-$27.57
Record
35%
221-416 (637)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$66.67
Value
—
PnL
-$66.67
Record
46%
485-564 (1049)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5707774a...47cea2
Slug
afcq-mad-gb-2026-11-12-spread-home-1pt5