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OverUnderOver
RN1CTR<$100OverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Madagascar vs. Guinea-Bissau: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 80%
Total Value
$49.6
Combined PnL
-$227.06
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$31.6
Total Shares417
Combined PnL-$229.22
Under1 trader
Total Value$18
Total Shares18
Combined PnL+$2.16
Over — 80%Under — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 59.5¢ | $221.18 | $31.6 | -$189.58 | 51% 2634-2567 (5201) |
DA dashattacker<$100 | Underavg 88¢ | $15.84 | $18 | +$2.16 | 62% 239-149 (388) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 21¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 53% 6251-5536 (11787) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 58¢ | $38.2 | — | -$38.2 | 56% 4529-3502 (8031) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 11¢ | $0.12 | — | -$0.12 | 35% 221-416 (637) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$221.18
Value
$31.6
PnL
-$189.58
Record
51%
2634-2567 (5201)
DA
dashattacker<$100Invested
$15.84
Value
$18
PnL
+$2.16
Record
62%
239-149 (388)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
53%
6251-5536 (11787)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$38.2
Value
—
PnL
-$38.2
Record
56%
4529-3502 (8031)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$0.12
Value
—
PnL
-$0.12
Record
35%
221-416 (637)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8c521f6d...036d0a
Slug
afcq-mad-gb-2026-11-12-first-half-total-0pt5