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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Equatorial Guinea vs. Zimbabwe: O/U 0.5

Resolved Under. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Over 55%

Total Value

$5.4K

Combined PnL

$1.1K

Smart Money Signal

Over

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over7 traders
Total Value$3.2K
Total Shares4,607
Combined PnL+$501.74
Under6 traders
Total Value$2.1K
Total Shares2,122
Combined PnL+$594.94
Over — 54%Under — 46%
FL
FlaznorpCTR
Over

Invested

$1,449.85

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$685.76

Record

51%

2634-2567 (5201)

DA
dashattacker
Under

Invested

$1,376.48

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$302.53

Record

62%

239-149 (388)

GO
GoalLineGhostCTR
Over

Invested

$927.91

Value

$982.63

PnL

+$54.72

Record

55%

1693-1391 (3084)

VE
Venusian
Under

Invested

$145.8

Value

$396.67

PnL

+$250.87

Record

32%

565-1192 (1757)

LI
LightParadoxCTR
Over

Invested

$327.75

Value

$111.73

PnL

-$216.02

Record

33%

585-1187 (1772)

LI
Limousin<$100
Under

Invested

$6.47

Value

$23.58

PnL

+$17.11

Record

33%

563-1169 (1732)

MA
MadridTime<$100
Under

Invested

$4

Value

$20

PnL

+$16

Record

34%

592-1164 (1756)

FE
ferdinand2<$100
Under

Invested

$0.47

Value

$2.74

PnL

+$2.27

Record

49%

1307-1343 (2650)

ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100
Under

Invested

$13.82

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$6.16

Record

83%

415-84 (499)

LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$1.63

Value

—

PnL

-$1.63

Record

35%

221-416 (637)

SU
suitcase6628CTR<$100
Over

Invested

$3

Value

—

PnL

-$3

Record

63%

379-223 (602)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$24

Value

—

PnL

-$16

Record

47%

1704-1945 (3649)

poshposhCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$2.09

Value

—

PnL

-$2.09

Record

48%

590-645 (1235)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xd1b76ea0...20ba3e
Slug
afcq-eg-zim-2026-11-12-total-0pt5

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

CTR

Over — $2.1K

+$685.76
DA

dashattacker

Under — $1.7K

+$302.53
GO

GoalLineGhost

CTR

Over — $982.63

+$54.72
VE

Venusian

Under — $396.67

+$250.87
LI

LightParadox

CTR

Over — $111.73

-$216.02
LI

Limousin

Under — $23.58

+$17.11
MA

MadridTime

Under — $20

+$16
FE

ferdinand2

Under — $2.74

+$2.27

ARTEM-DZYUBA

Under — $0.01

+$6.16
LU

LuckyLoo

CTR

Over — $0

-$1.63
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