Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Algeria vs. Togo: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Under 64%
1 arb excluded
$105.3K
$997.16
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AL alohaa | Underavg 99.5Β’ | $102.2K | $102.8K | +$530.08 | 96% 25-1 (26) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 69Β’ | $706.2 | $961.36 | +$255.16 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
![]() RN1 | Underavg 75Β’ | $502.95 | $670.6 | +$167.65 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 0.9Β’ | $865.37 | $200.81 | -$664.56 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 89.2Β’ | $179.06 | $200.81 | +$21.75 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 0.9Β’ | $686.31 | β | -$686.31 | |
![]() VeryLucky888 | Underavg 65.9Β’ | $164.3 | $249.37 | +$85.07 | 54% 1525-1316 (2841) |
PE pelik | Underavg 99.9Β’ | $240.72 | $240.96 | +$0.24 | 99% 1600-5 (1605) |
NO NotJump | Underavg 99.1Β’ | $99.1 | $100 | +$0.9 | 51% 917-874 (1791) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Underavg 66Β’ | $52.69 | $72 | +$19.3 | 55% 547-442 (989) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Overavg 0.2Β’ | $27.78 | β | -$27.78 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 0.2Β’ | $26.43 | β | -$26.43 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 0.7Β’ | $6.98 | β | -$6.98 | 48% 2245-2407 (4652) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 0.2Β’ | $0.06 | β | -$0.06 | 53% 7213-6305 (13518) |
Invested
$102,244.42
Value
$102.8K
PnL
+$530.08
Record
96%
25-1 (26)
Invested
$706.2
Value
$961.36
PnL
+$255.16
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
RN1Invested
$502.95
Value
$670.6
PnL
+$167.65
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
Invested
$865.37
Value
$200.81
PnL
-$664.56
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Both legs:
VeryLucky888Invested
$164.3
Value
$249.37
PnL
+$85.07
Record
54%
1525-1316 (2841)
Invested
$240.72
Value
$240.96
PnL
+$0.24
Record
99%
1600-5 (1605)
Invested
$99.1
Value
$100
PnL
+$0.9
Record
51%
917-874 (1791)
Invested
$52.69
Value
$72
PnL
+$19.3
Record
55%
547-442 (989)
Invested
$27.78
Value
β
PnL
-$27.78
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
Invested
$26.43
Value
β
PnL
-$26.43
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
Invested
$6.98
Value
β
PnL
-$6.98
Record
48%
2245-2407 (4652)
Invested
$0.06
Value
β
PnL
-$0.06
Record
53%
7213-6305 (13518)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
alohaa
Under β $102.8K
GoalLineGhost
Under β $961.36

RN1
Under β $670.6
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded

VeryLucky888
Under β $249.37
pelik
Under β $240.96
NotJump
Under β $100
LeLynxMalynx
Under β $72
LightParadox
CTROver β $0
MadridTime
CTROver β $0