
Consensus PnL $19K · win rate 74% (93–32, n=125) · was PM monthly #969 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$18.9K
Record
93W / 32L
Win Rate
74.0%
of 125 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#650
Source
PM monthly #969
Record (90 d)
103/106 · 97%
Trades
146
Markets
142
Volume
$125.1K
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 3 on the consensus side (33%)- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs maybe (BO3) - European Pro League Series 10 Closed Qualifier Play-Inmaybe $3.1K · now 68¢ · in at 40¢with the consensus (69% of 24)
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs maybe (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #10 Group Cmaybe $1.2K · now 35¢ · in at 22¢against the consensus (Rebels Gaming)
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs maybe - Map 1 Winnermaybe $1 · now 0¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (Falcons Force)
Specialties
97 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 60¢- Esports
+37 pts
side won 97% of 97 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +37%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 95% of 22)
- 50–70¢: 55%(won 98% of 53)
- 70¢ and up: 22%(won 100% of 21)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.