PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
xcaioxe333eMEPP0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140
Record (consensus markets)no settled market80% (8–2, n=10)65% (345–184, n=529)88% (35–5, n=40)
Consensus PnL—$6.3K$557K$1.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #697was PM monthly #636was PM monthly #959 + pinnedwas PM monthly #77
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (65 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +24 pts n=14, ROI +22%
  • Tech +10 pts n=71, ROI +13%
Weakest topicPolitics −1 pts, n=10—Entertainment −18 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won85% of 134 at avg 74¢, ROI +12%70% of 10 at avg 58¢, ROI +17%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 30% of 10)0%20% (won 14% of 151)0%
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 60% of 10)30% (won 67% of 3)11% (won 34% of 82)47% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 71% of 24)50% (won 60% of 5)19% (won 66% of 144)31% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 98% of 90)20% (won 100% of 2)51% (won 93% of 390)22% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.