PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
wisewisewindhymolusportteryqqshijiebeiyingshibei
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (23–1, n=24)46% (342–400, n=742)46% (150–176, n=326)
Consensus PnL—$120K$61K$178K
Tracked asPM monthly #256was PM monthly #944was PM monthly #904was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)100% (5 of 5 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—96% of 24 at avg 91¢, ROI +9%99% of 342 at avg 50¢, ROI +44%52% of 265 at avg 42¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 97% of 35)47% (won 20% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢—0%42% (won 99% of 142)13% (won 57% of 35)
Entries 50–70¢—0%35% (won 98% of 121)13% (won 76% of 34)
Entries 70¢ and up—96% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 100% of 44)27% (won 94% of 71)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.