PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
wisewisewindforrestgumpersportteryqq
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (413–493, n=906)46% (342–399, n=741)
Consensus PnL—$62K$61K
Tracked asPM monthly #278PM monthly #500was PM monthly #904
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)20% (1 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—63% of 627 at avg 48¢, ROI +7%99% of 342 at avg 50¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 23% of 185)10% (won 97% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 54% of 119)42% (won 99% of 142)
Entries 50–70¢—25% (won 83% of 157)35% (won 98% of 121)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 95% of 166)13% (won 100% of 44)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.