PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
wisewisewindRN10xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (7116–7479, n=14595)89% (382–46, n=428)
Consensus PnL—$13.3M-$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #278Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #993
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)51% (78 of 152 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tech +4 pts n=33, ROI +10%
Weakest topic——Weather −3 pts, n=104
Settled positions, side won—93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 737 at avg 92¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 52% of 2020)1% (won 50% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 93% of 4355)1% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 7260)3% (won 64% of 25)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 5998)95% (won 93% of 700)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.