PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
wisewisewindPaul9739730x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710Ahpo
Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (897–81, n=978)49% (1212–1267, n=2479)95% (1530–85, n=1615)
Consensus PnL—$4.4K$60K$124K
Tracked asPM monthly #256was PM monthly #792Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #861
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)85% (17 of 20 open)25% (3 of 12 open)100% (13 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Finance −1 pts, n=38Politics −6 pts, n=74—
Settled positions, side won—99% of 901 at avg 94¢, ROI +3%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%92% of 1836 at avg 88¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 40% of 5)24% (won 19% of 254)5% (won 14% of 97)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 50% of 6)23% (won 40% of 241)3% (won 60% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 100% of 5)29% (won 70% of 304)6% (won 67% of 102)
Entries 70¢ and up—98% (won 99% of 885)24% (won 89% of 250)86% (won 99% of 1582)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketwisewisewindPaul9739730x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710Ahpo
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2K—No $1.4K