PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
viper0310t89e4ygf6rocroiPitter
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (108–128, n=236)67% (28–14, n=42)49% (225–232, n=457)
Consensus PnL—$15K$149K$49K
Tracked asPM monthly #950was PM monthly #987PM monthly #460Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———Politics −5 pts, n=52
Settled positions, side won—91% of 121 at avg 54¢, ROI +38%58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 71% of 7)36% (won 23% of 13)53% (won 6% of 545)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 92% of 38)8% (won 67% of 3)13% (won 50% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 89% of 56)33% (won 67% of 12)17% (won 65% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 20)22% (won 100% of 8)16% (won 92% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.