← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tiagsluiz1 | melganis | 0010001000001100 | Bonereaper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 79% (1034–278, n=1312) | 81% (1284–298, n=1582) | 86% (43246–6849, n=50095) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $56K | $127K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #485 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #799 | PM monthly #273 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (29 of 41 open) | no open consensus position | 45% (5 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −2 pts, n=71 | NBA −2 pts, n=70 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2% | 87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 36616 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 20% (won 7% of 324) | 11% (won 45% of 155) | 4% (won 85% of 1370) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 6% (won 41% of 99) | 11% (won 72% of 159) | 16% (won 95% of 5840) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 8% (won 70% of 125) | 16% (won 89% of 232) | 35% (won 98% of 12695) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 67% (won 97% of 1112) | 63% (won 97% of 911) | 46% (won 100% of 16711) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.