PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sportteryqq0xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fcGoalLineGhostb2d0
Record (consensus markets)46% (341–399, n=740)50% (1–1, n=2)59% (3022–2075, n=5097)50% (1–1, n=2)
Consensus PnL$61K$149$26.8M$144K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #904was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #133Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position58% (29 of 50 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 340 at avg 50¢, ROI +44%50% of 2 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%80% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 97% of 35)50% (won 0% of 1)9% (won 94% of 286)0%
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 99% of 142)0%11% (won 98% of 330)0%
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 98% of 121)0%22% (won 99% of 697)0%
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 100% of 42)50% (won 100% of 1)58% (won 100% of 1787)100% (won 80% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.