PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
texastechboosterGoalLineGhost0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)46% (115–133, n=248)59% (3007–2059, n=5066)46% (119–138, n=257)
Consensus PnL$79K$26.8M$18.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #940PM monthly #133was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)56% (29 of 52 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +3 pts n=153, ROI +2%
  • NHL +8 pts n=14, ROI −14%
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topicSoccer −9 pts, n=46—College Basketball −8 pts, n=259
Settled positions, side won47% of 250 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%50% of 1403 at avg 50¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 18% of 44)9% (won 94% of 286)0% (won 0% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 47% of 88)11% (won 98% of 330)41% (won 48% of 575)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 53% of 101)22% (won 99% of 697)58% (won 51% of 819)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 88% of 17)58% (won 100% of 1787)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.