PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
testingout123beheo123RN1texaskid
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (28–15, n=43)49% (9610–10110, n=19720)66% (367–187, n=554)
Consensus PnL—$40K$13.3M$7.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #721was PM monthly #982Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)53% (17 of 32 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29
Settled positions, side won—86% of 28 at avg 56¢, ROI +33%93% of 20810 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—18% (won 40% of 5)10% (won 53% of 2181)1% (won 0% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 100% of 4)22% (won 94% of 4645)26% (won 68% of 148)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 100% of 10)37% (won 99% of 7657)69% (won 78% of 392)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 89% of 9)30% (won 100% of 6327)4% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.