PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
testebzaiVRVTeamseeeeeeb0x77fa47189ddBA1eeFa3eA7d92a497e370807a23D-1776838051537
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market88% (323–43, n=366)47% (27–30, n=57)
Consensus PnL——$87$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #290was PM monthly #975PM monthly #986PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won74% of 23 at avg 54¢, ROI +19%52% of 65 at avg 27¢, ROI +5%97% of 108 at avg 80¢, ROI −4%69% of 29 at avg 34¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 43% of 7)57% (won 41% of 37)6% (won 50% of 6)41% (won 58% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 75% of 4)32% (won 57% of 21)6% (won 100% of 6)34% (won 80% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 50% of 2)8% (won 100% of 5)14% (won 100% of 15)21% (won 67% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 10)3% (won 100% of 2)75% (won 100% of 81)3% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.