PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
taxmoneyshijiebeiyingshibeisportteryqqAhpo
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (150–176, n=326)46% (342–400, n=742)95% (1530–85, n=1615)
Consensus PnL—$178K$61K$124K
Tracked asPM monthly #897was PM monthly #715was PM monthly #904was PM monthly #861
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)100% (13 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—52% of 265 at avg 42¢, ROI +12%99% of 342 at avg 50¢, ROI +44%92% of 1836 at avg 88¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—47% (won 20% of 125)10% (won 97% of 35)5% (won 14% of 97)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 57% of 35)42% (won 99% of 142)3% (won 60% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 76% of 34)35% (won 98% of 121)6% (won 67% of 102)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 71)13% (won 100% of 44)86% (won 99% of 1582)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.