← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| taxmoney | Nomorepredict | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Ahpo | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 59% (129–90, n=219) | 95% (1081–60, n=1141) | 95% (1530–85, n=1615) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$10K | $42K | $124K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #897 | PM monthly #942 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #861 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (13 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −1 pts, n=122 | Science −5 pts, n=11 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 53% of 255 at avg 55¢, ROI −3% | 98% of 1366 at avg 95¢, ROI +1% | 92% of 1836 at avg 88¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 26% (won 8% of 66) | 1% (won 29% of 17) | 5% (won 14% of 97) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 16% (won 38% of 42) | 1% (won 69% of 13) | 3% (won 60% of 55) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 18% (won 57% of 47) | 2% (won 80% of 30) | 6% (won 67% of 102) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 39% (won 88% of 100) | 96% (won 99% of 1306) | 86% (won 99% of 1582) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.