PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
taxmoney0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945SmallFishInWhaleStomachcalm919
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (533–28, n=561)89% (122–15, n=137)89% (226–28, n=254)
Consensus PnL—$1.0M$96K$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #897was PM monthly #957PM monthly #926PM monthly #754
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Geopolitics −1 pts, n=44—
Settled positions, side won—98% of 846 at avg 72¢, ROI +33%86% of 155 at avg 80¢, ROI +3%92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 85% of 20)8% (won 8% of 13)0%
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 97% of 88)8% (won 62% of 13)11% (won 69% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—22% (won 97% of 187)8% (won 69% of 13)32% (won 93% of 76)
Entries 70¢ and up—65% (won 99% of 551)75% (won 100% of 116)57% (won 96% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.