PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sumolivePaul9739730b10x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710
Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (897–81, n=978)89% (211–26, n=237)49% (1212–1267, n=2479)
Consensus PnL—$4.4K$95K$60K
Tracked asPM monthly #241was PM monthly #792was PM monthly #826Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)85% (17 of 20 open)no open consensus position25% (3 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Finance −1 pts, n=38Tennis −2 pts, n=107Politics −6 pts, n=74
Settled positions, side won—99% of 901 at avg 94¢, ROI +3%90% of 225 at avg 90¢, ROI +1%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 40% of 5)0%24% (won 19% of 254)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 50% of 6)1% (won 0% of 2)23% (won 40% of 241)
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 100% of 5)4% (won 25% of 8)29% (won 70% of 304)
Entries 70¢ and up—98% (won 99% of 885)96% (won 93% of 215)24% (won 89% of 250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.