PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stuttigAllByMyseIfballena0x2Cc8Cc54F50DbB45fE346612821CA93B6E93262B-1780571709186
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (100–74, n=174)42% (5–7, n=12)95% (456–22, n=478)
Consensus PnL—$564K$9.9K-$138K
Tracked asPM monthly #491PM monthly #471 + pinnedPM monthly #341was PM monthly #584
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (14 of 22 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Soccer ±0 pts, n=408
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 77¢, ROI +23%88% of 736 at avg 77¢, ROI +7%63% of 8 at avg 42¢, ROI +8%98% of 448 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢0%12% (won 31% of 89)38% (won 0% of 3)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢0%5% (won 79% of 38)13% (won 100% of 1)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢0%9% (won 88% of 69)50% (won 100% of 4)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 1)73% (won 99% of 540)0%99% (won 98% of 445)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.