PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hoodquantsportteryqqccllarhumbleboy
Record (consensus markets)95% (19883–991, n=20874)46% (341–399, n=740)46% (372–431, n=803)67% (386–194, n=580)
Consensus PnL$18K$61K$12K$172K
Tracked asPM monthly #584was PM monthly #904was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #256
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 12257 at avg 98¢, ROI +1%99% of 340 at avg 50¢, ROI +44%98% of 388 at avg 56¢, ROI +39%69% of 615 at avg 51¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 15% of 26)10% (won 97% of 35)5% (won 86% of 21)5% (won 47% of 30)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 28% of 78)42% (won 99% of 142)28% (won 97% of 109)42% (won 60% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 54% of 94)36% (won 98% of 121)44% (won 99% of 172)45% (won 75% of 279)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 99% of 12059)12% (won 100% of 42)22% (won 100% of 86)8% (won 92% of 50)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.