PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hoodquant0xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fcGoalLineGhost0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Record (consensus markets)95% (19883–991, n=20874)50% (1–1, n=2)59% (3022–2075, n=5097)92% (701–63, n=764)
Consensus PnL$18K$149$26.8M$14.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #584was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #133was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position61% (33 of 54 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 12257 at avg 98¢, ROI +1%50% of 2 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 15% of 26)50% (won 0% of 1)9% (won 94% of 286)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 28% of 78)0%11% (won 98% of 330)15% (won 97% of 113)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 54% of 94)0%22% (won 99% of 697)65% (won 99% of 477)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 99% of 12059)50% (won 100% of 1)58% (won 100% of 1787)17% (won 100% of 127)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.