PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hoodquanthumbleboy0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592std0
Record (consensus markets)95% (19883–991, n=20874)67% (386–194, n=580)92% (701–63, n=764)95% (9882–509, n=10391)
Consensus PnL$18K$172K$14.3M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #584PM monthly #256was PM monthly #999was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)38% (3 of 8 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 12257 at avg 98¢, ROI +1%69% of 615 at avg 51¢, ROI +21%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 15% of 26)5% (won 47% of 30)2% (won 100% of 14)1% (won 45% of 65)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 28% of 78)42% (won 60% of 256)15% (won 97% of 113)15% (won 98% of 885)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 54% of 94)45% (won 75% of 279)65% (won 99% of 477)78% (won 100% of 4649)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 99% of 12059)8% (won 92% of 50)17% (won 100% of 127)6% (won 96% of 380)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.