PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hoodquant0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592humbleboyGoalLineGhost
Record (consensus markets)95% (19883–991, n=20874)92% (701–63, n=764)67% (386–194, n=580)59% (3022–2075, n=5097)
Consensus PnL$18K$14.3M$172K$26.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #584was PM monthly #999PM monthly #256PM monthly #133
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)38% (3 of 8 open)61% (33 of 54 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 12257 at avg 98¢, ROI +1%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%69% of 615 at avg 51¢, ROI +21%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 15% of 26)2% (won 100% of 14)5% (won 47% of 30)9% (won 94% of 286)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 28% of 78)15% (won 97% of 113)42% (won 60% of 256)11% (won 98% of 330)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 54% of 94)65% (won 99% of 477)45% (won 75% of 279)22% (won 99% of 697)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 99% of 12059)17% (won 100% of 127)8% (won 92% of 50)58% (won 100% of 1787)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.