PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sneakysnake0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592oliverea
Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (707–64, n=771)59% (305–213, n=518)
Consensus PnL—$14.4M$7.2K
Tracked asPM monthly #921was PM monthly #999was PM monthly #907
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%98% of 301 at avg 59¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 14)3% (won 88% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 97% of 113)19% (won 95% of 57)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 99% of 477)54% (won 99% of 164)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 127)24% (won 100% of 72)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.