PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sneakysnake0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710gt7238zhuz632
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1212–1269, n=2481)46% (425–492, n=917)59% (241–170, n=411)
Consensus PnL—$60K$9.9K$1.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #975was PM monthly #994
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position15% (2 of 13 open)100% (2 of 2 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +47 pts n=238, ROI +47%
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74——
Settled positions, side won—55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%100% of 360 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%99% of 238 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 19% of 254)8% (won 100% of 27)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 241)52% (won 100% of 187)34% (won 100% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 70% of 304)23% (won 100% of 82)64% (won 99% of 152)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 89% of 250)18% (won 100% of 64)1% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.