PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (230–11, n=241)46% (425–492, n=917)59% (241–170, n=411)
Consensus PnL—$112K$9.9K$1.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #975was PM monthly #994
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +22 pts n=201, ROI +23%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=238, ROI +47%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 202 at avg 75¢, ROI +23%100% of 360 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%99% of 238 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 40% of 5)8% (won 100% of 27)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—11% (won 86% of 22)52% (won 100% of 187)34% (won 100% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—22% (won 100% of 45)23% (won 100% of 82)64% (won 99% of 152)
Entries 70¢ and up—64% (won 100% of 130)18% (won 100% of 64)1% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.