PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
jacemaesteravo-edgeuninformedfloww0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140
Record (consensus markets)100% (3–0, n=3)46% (328–384, n=712)66% (16430–8405, n=24835)88% (35–5, n=40)
Consensus PnL$36K$20K$31K$1.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #577was PM monthly #918PM monthly #429was PM monthly #77
Sides with the consensus100% (5 of 5 open)no open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +40 pts n=347, ROI +33%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 77¢, ROI +30%93% of 363 at avg 52¢, ROI +33%66% of 5040 at avg 62¢, ROI +11%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%15% (won 64% of 53)16% (won 12% of 794)0%
Entries 30–50¢0%37% (won 97% of 134)16% (won 35% of 788)47% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 96% of 71)17% (won 66% of 870)31% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 100% of 105)51% (won 92% of 2588)22% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.