PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sapocego23melganis0010001000001100
Record (consensus markets)no settled market79% (1030–277, n=1307)81% (1223–295, n=1518)
Consensus PnL—$55K$127K
Tracked asPM monthly #516Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #799
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (30 of 41 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +18 pts n=1284, ROI +10%
  • F1 +20 pts n=26, ROI +13%
  • NFL +13 pts n=36, ROI +3%
Weakest topic—Crypto −2 pts, n=71NBA −2 pts, n=70
Settled positions, side won—74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2%87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢—20% (won 7% of 324)11% (won 45% of 155)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 41% of 99)11% (won 72% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 70% of 125)16% (won 89% of 232)
Entries 70¢ and up—67% (won 97% of 1112)63% (won 97% of 911)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.