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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| qizhan | rabadabadoo | Bonereaper | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 62% (13737–8492, n=22229) | 86% (43246–6849, n=50095) | 67% (469–231, n=700) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $15K | $14.9M | $10.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #372 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #273 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (10 of 16 open) | 76% (53 of 70 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 85% of 7099 at avg 53¢, ROI +24% | 98% of 36616 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% | 97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 3% (won 17% of 210) | 4% (won 85% of 1370) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 23% (won 82% of 1610) | 16% (won 95% of 5840) | 34% (won 98% of 162) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 71% (won 88% of 5012) | 35% (won 98% of 12695) | 33% (won 99% of 154) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 4% (won 96% of 267) | 46% (won 100% of 16711) | 22% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | qizhan | rabadabadoo | Bonereaper | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $19K |