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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| qizhan | e333e | MEPP | rocroi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 80% (8–2, n=10) | 65% (345–184, n=529) | 67% (28–14, n=42) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $6.3K | $557K | $149K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #371 | was PM monthly #636 | was PM monthly #959 + pinned | PM monthly #460 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 79% (65 of 82 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Entertainment −18 pts, n=11 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 0% of 2 at avg 60¢, ROI −34% | 70% of 10 at avg 58¢, ROI +17% | 66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4% | 58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 20% (won 14% of 151) | 36% (won 23% of 13) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 30% (won 67% of 3) | 11% (won 34% of 82) | 8% (won 67% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 0% of 2) | 50% (won 60% of 5) | 19% (won 66% of 144) | 33% (won 67% of 12) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 2) | 51% (won 93% of 390) | 22% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | qizhan | e333e | MEPP | rocroi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | — | Yes $7.9K | — |