PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
qWOprt7formyfamilialiquiditycrisismachinelearned
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (109–6, n=115)100% (5–0, n=5)65% (2206–1190, n=3396)
Consensus PnL—-$7.6K$296K$35K
Tracked asPM monthly #518was PM monthly #549PM monthly #56PM monthly #578
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +48 pts n=13, ROI +49%
  • Crypto +25 pts n=1294, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—Tennis −6 pts, n=19——
Settled positions, side won—92% of 112 at avg 89¢, ROI 0%100% of 22 at avg 52¢, ROI +49%98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢—0%0%3% (won 64% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢—0%27% (won 100% of 6)6% (won 93% of 75)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 40% of 10)73% (won 100% of 16)28% (won 100% of 360)
Entries 70¢ and up—91% (won 97% of 102)0%63% (won 100% of 818)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.