Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	poposub	0xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f4	twinna	0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945
Record (consensus markets)	no settled market	57% (8–6, n=14)	47% (75–84, n=159)	95% (597–29, n=626)
Consensus PnL	—	$193	$60K	$1.0M
Tracked as	PM monthly #394	PM monthly #790	PM monthly #491	was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensus	36% (5 of 14 open)	no open consensus position	73% (11 of 15 open)	no open consensus position
Strongest topics	not computed yet	none with 10+ settled	Elections +8 pts n=60, ROI −1%	Tennis +28 pts n=649, ROI +36% Soccer +19 pts n=75, ROI +23% Other Sports +16 pts n=67, ROI +21%
Weakest topic	—	—	NHL −7 pts, n=103	—
Settled positions, side won	—	92% of 25 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%	48% of 192 at avg 47¢, ROI +6%	98% of 846 at avg 72¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢	—	8% (won 50% of 2)	18% (won 11% of 35)	2% (won 85% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢	—	0%	38% (won 45% of 73)	10% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢	—	0%	32% (won 60% of 62)	22% (won 97% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up	—	92% (won 96% of 23)	11% (won 86% of 22)	65% (won 99% of 551)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	poposub	0xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f4	twinna	0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $1.7K	—	Yes $5.9K	—
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? same side · consensus No	No $9.1K	—	No $5.5K	—