PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (42–2, n=44)49% (619–632, n=1251)49% (847–879, n=1726)
Consensus PnL—-$4.9K$840K$572K
Tracked asPM monthly #394was PM monthly #965was PM monthly #746PM monthly #141
Sides with the consensus36% (5 of 14 open)no open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Mentions −15 pts, n=44—
Settled positions, side won—67% of 3 at avg 75¢, ROI −75%57% of 1153 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%68% of 1156 at avg 46¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—0%21% (won 37% of 241)22% (won 24% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 100% of 1)44% (won 56% of 513)34% (won 72% of 392)
Entries 50–70¢—0%33% (won 70% of 384)31% (won 84% of 362)
Entries 70¢ and up—67% (won 50% of 2)1% (won 93% of 15)13% (won 95% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.