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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| poposub | 01258787xy48487484545122 | tradecraft | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 92% (72–6, n=78) | 49% (2015–2122, n=4137) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $329K | $912K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #388 | PM monthly #101 | PM monthly #299 |
| Sides with the consensus | 36% (5 of 14 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 77 at avg 83¢, ROI +10% | 57% of 2284 at avg 50¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 25% of 4) | 31% (won 10% of 707) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 5% (won 75% of 4) | 18% (won 47% of 401) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 8% (won 83% of 6) | 19% (won 77% of 426) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 82% (won 100% of 63) | 33% (won 96% of 750) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | poposub | 01258787xy48487484545122 | tradecraft |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $12K | — |