PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
poposub0xd14650532E11324cdaca20f45666486c24679Bf0-1758702953678twinna0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (384–392, n=776)47% (75–84, n=159)95% (597–29, n=626)
Consensus PnL—$293K$60K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #394was PM monthly #997PM monthly #491was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensus36% (5 of 14 open)no open consensus position73% (11 of 15 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +18 pts n=708, ROI +17%
Weakest topic——NHL −7 pts, n=103—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 710 at avg 37¢, ROI +17%48% of 192 at avg 47¢, ROI +6%98% of 846 at avg 72¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 30% of 206)18% (won 11% of 35)2% (won 85% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—47% (won 65% of 334)38% (won 45% of 73)10% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 68% of 170)32% (won 60% of 62)22% (won 97% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%11% (won 86% of 22)65% (won 99% of 551)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpoposub0xd14650532E11324cdaca20f45666486c24679Bf0-1758702953678twinna0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.7K—Yes $5.9K—
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
same side · consensus No
No $9.1K—No $5.5K—