PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (384–392, n=776)82% (46–10, n=56)82% (163–37, n=200)
Consensus PnL—$293K$10K$155K
Tracked asPM monthly #394was PM monthly #997PM monthly #470was PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensus29% (4 of 14 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +18 pts n=708, ROI +17%
  • NBA +15 pts n=151, ROI +8%
  • Finance +10 pts n=28, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +12 pts n=22, ROI −1%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—56% of 710 at avg 37¢, ROI +17%72% of 50 at avg 62¢, ROI +7%94% of 273 at avg 82¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 30% of 206)32% (won 31% of 16)3% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—47% (won 65% of 334)4% (won 50% of 2)3% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 68% of 170)2% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 87% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%62% (won 94% of 31)78% (won 98% of 213)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.